Educators NZ - Research discovers predicted year robots could replace us

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Research discovers predicted year robots could replace us

A lot of preparation is underway in the education industry to shift students away from easily replaceable career paths and channel them into cognitive industries.

A researcher at the University of Oxford recently surveyed some of the world’s best AI experts to find out when machines will start to replace human roles.

Oxford Future of Humanity Institute researcher Katja Grace led the team gathering data from over 350 machine learning and AI experts. Using this data they plotted predicted dates when the technology would outmatch the human worker.

The paper, “When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts” states there are big changes on the way in the next ten years.

“Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will have massive social consequences. Self-driving technology might replace millions of driving jobs over the coming decade. In addition to possible unemployment, the transition will bring new challenges, such as rebuilding infrastructure, protecting vehicle cyber-security, and adapting laws and regulations.”

Source: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang & Owain Evans (2017). When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts. Oxford

From their projections, we can see the number of years from 2016 that these jobs are likely to be easily carried out by AI and robots.

The researchers have included several fun point-of-reference indicators like Angry Birds and LEGO assembly to show a contrast between the more serious predictions like Truck driving.

Remember these are prediction and the classic adage, “keep calm and carry on”. The education sector is already on its way to being prepared for these changes.

It is interesting to see some of the more imminent changes on the horizon and we’ll see how accurate Grace and the Oxford team really were, come 2028.

Keep up the great work in preparing students for a future like we’ve never seen before and maybe find a hobby other than Angry Birds in the next six years.

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